So tomorrow is D-Day for us and already some people are looking at Gayle as being the winner for the West Indies:
http://www.sport24.co.za/Cricket/ICCCha ... e-20130612
Proteas to face Gayle force?
Rob Houwing, Sport24 chief writer
Cape Town – Almost inevitably, considering that he has smouldered but not yet properly caught fire, some observers are suggesting the big-hitting West Indian Chris Gayle will reserve his ICC Champions Trophy best for the effective “quarter-final” against South Africa at Cardiff on Friday.
The winners of the clash will be assured of onward passage to the semi-finals from Group B and the losers definitely go home early, so the stakes are as high as they could be.
One of modern cricket’s most crowd-pleasing players, given his reputation in both limited-overs formats, the 33-year-old Jamaican left-hander got 39 in the tense victory over Pakistan and then 21 in the pretty heavy loss to in-form India, both at The Oval.
That often means in his case that a big one is just around the corner, and South Africa, like virtually all other nations, have felt the wrath of his powerful, buccaneering stroke-play before in ODIs.
Gayle has registered three centuries in 27 encounters at this level with the Proteas, and they have tended to be particularly meaty ones, too.
On South Africa’s side statistically, however, is that Gayle carnage doesn’t necessarily translate into West Indies triumph: for example, his personal best knock against the Proteas of 152 not out (run-a-ball stuff) at the Wanderers in February 2004 wasn’t enough to prevent an SA victory by six wickets with two balls to spare in pursuit of a stiff 305.
He has also, generally, been kept better in check by South Africa than other teams – he averages 35 against them, as opposed to an overall career average of 38.29.
Still, Gayle was also very much to the fore on the last occasion West Indies beat the Proteas, all of 13 meetings back (in itself a morale-boosting stat for AB de Villiers’s outfit to take into the game).
That was in the semis of the very Champions Trophy held in India in 2006/07, when the Caribbean side upset South Africa by a comfortable six wickets, largely on the back of Gayle’s thunderous 133 not out at Jaipur.
On the Proteas side, only captain De Villiers and spin bowling all-rounder Robin Peterson will be survivors of that encounter doing battle once more on Friday.
These teams last met in ODI combat at the last World Cup in 2011, when South Africa cruised to a seven-wicket win at Delhi.
On that occasion debutant leg-spinner Imran Tahir’s four for 41 and De Villiers’s unbeaten 107 provided much of the impetus.
South Africa currently lie second on the Group B table, one of the two qualifying slots for the semis, considering that their positive net run rate (0.410) trumps that of the West Indies (-0.086 after their thumping from unbeaten, already-through India).
It is useful ammunition to have in the event of a no-result in Cardiff, where each of South Africa and West Indies would bank a point and end in the same positions on the table they occupy at present with the Proteas thus advancing.
On Tuesday there had seemed a good prospect of significant Friday rain in the Welsh city, although that appears to have been downgraded fairly considerably a day later.
What South Africa may not want is their old “favourite” (not!) at major ICC gatherings of a compressed, weather-affected game.
The more the contest is squeezed in overs terms, of course, the more the West Indian underdogs’ chances only increase ... and anything slightly resembling a Twenty20 affair would only delight somebody like Gayle.